Analyst Makes Brutal Switch 2 Sales Prediction Based on the Same PS5 Problem That Led to More Xbox Sales

The anticipation for Nintendo Switch 2 is palpable in the gaming and tech enthusiast community. The hype recently got higher when the company finally released a trailer for its upcoming device, along with a date, April 2nd, when more details about the handheld will be released.

However, one analyst has come out with a bold prediction about how the release of the successor to Switch might play out after its release in possible release in April. And, the prediction is not exactly good news for the Japanese gaming giant as the analyst sees Sony’s PS5 beating in the US market.

The hype is real, but will Switch 2 meet the demand?

It’s no surprise that fans are very eager to get their hands on Switch 2 as soon as possible, especially after the recent teaser. However, history has shown that the gap between hype and supply can often be a difficult one to fill and maintain.

Analyst Mat Piscatella has recently made a bold prediction that if launched in the first half of 2025, which it is expected to, Switch 2 will sell around 4.3 million units in the US by the end of the year but will lose out to PlayStation 5 in terms of sales in the US.

He explained that while the demand for the hybrid console is extremely high, just like how Sony struggled with the PS5 release, the Japanese gaming giant is likely to fall into the same pitfall. This could lead to frustrated customers who can’t get their hands on the device, turning to other viable alternatives.

In the case of PS5, it was the Xbox Series X, and for Switch 2, Piscatella predicts it will be the PS5. Despite the shortage, PS5 remained the better-selling console, Xbox’s Series X saw an unexpected boost in sales, but it won’t be the same case for the hybrid consoles.

He further explained that Nintendo’s sales patterns completely differ from its competitors: Sony and Microsoft, as the hybrid console is often owned alongside other gaming devices, offering variety rather than competing directly.

Will the same fate befall Switch 2 as PS5?

As much as the gaming community is excited about the Switch 2, the reality of manufacturing limitations is an unknown territory that has plagued the launch of various consoles, with the PlayStation 5 serving as the most recent and prominent example.

Even if there are no manufacturing issues, scalpers, supply chain hiccups, and overwhelming demand could create a perfect storm that drives players to other consoles and handhelds, especially in the current hyperactive gaming community.

However, it’s important to point out that the analyst’s predictions are based on trends and recent releases of popular consoles. While numbers typically provide solid insights, the gaming industry is notoriously unpredictable, and nothing is ever guaranteed.

Additionally, Nintendo has acknowledged the challenges posed by scalpers and supply chain issues in certain regions. The company has stated that it is taking steps to address these concerns by ramping up production and preparing additional units.

In the end, will the company be able to tackle the excessive demand or will the analyst’s prediction hold true? Despite the high anticipation for the next big thing in console, the PlayStation 5 remains a dominant force that could still take the lead in the end.