Latest news on Russia and the war in Ukraine

A top Ukrainian military commander has said Kyiv’s forces will try to seize the initiative and conduct unspecified counteroffensive actions in 2024.

Ukrainian ground forces commander Oleksandr Pavlyuk said in televised comments on Wednesday that the military would try to stabilize the front line and create a grouping of forces to conduct counteroffensive actions over the coming months.

His comments came shortly after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy warned that Russia was likely preparing an offensive in Ukraine in the spring or the start of summer.

— Sam Meredith

A senior Russian military officer has warned that the Kremlin’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine could escalate into a full-scale war in Europe, Reuters reported, citing state news agency RIA.

Colonel-General Vladimir Zarudnitsky, who leads the Russian army’s Military Academy of the General Staff, reportedly warned in a defense ministry publication that the likelihood of Russian forces becoming involved in a new conflict was increasing “significantly.”

“The possibility of an escalation of the conflict in Ukraine – from the expansion of participants in ‘proxy forces’ used for military confrontation with Russia to a large-scale war in Europe – cannot be ruled out,” Zarudnitsky was quoted as saying.

“The main source of military threats to our state is the anti-Russian policy of the United States and its allies, who are conducting a new type of hybrid warfare in order to weaken Russia in every possible way, limit its sovereignty and destroy its territorial integrity.”

— Sam Meredith

Lithuanian intelligence services on Thursday said in a report that Russia can continue fighting in Ukraine for at least two more years.

“Russia has sufficient financial, human, material, and technical resources to continue fighting at a similar intensity, at least in the near term,” Lithuania said in its latest annual national threat assessment.

“Its chosen strategy is a war of attrition, based on the expectation of growing war-weariness in Western societies and governments and the diminishing will to fight among Ukrainians.”

The report said Russian forces had been able to regroup and strengthen in 2023 after suffering heavy losses the previous year.

In a move likely designed to signal Moscow’s disapproval of Finland’s NATO membership, Lithuanian intelligence agencies said, Russia had deployed vessels capable of carrying Kalibr cruise missiles on Lake Ladoga for the first time. Lake Ladoga is a body of water near Finland’s southeast border with Russia.

“Russia is engaged in two parallel processes. It is both compensating for its losses in Ukraine and creating new capabilities for a long-term confrontation with the West,” the report said.

— Sam Meredith

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov on Wednesday said that Russia would not interfere with the U.S. presidential election later this year, and had not done so in the past.

“We never interfered in elections in the United States,” Peskov said, according to Reuters. “And this time, we do not intend to interfere.”

Peskov reiterated that any attempts by other countries to interfere with Russia’s presidential elections would be prevented.

Investigations from U.S. authorities have previously found that Russia has interfered, or at least tried to, during several recent elections in the U.S., including presidential elections and midterms.

— Sophie Kiderlin

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on Wednesday that people had been killed and injured in a Russian attack on Ukraine’s Black Sea port of Odesa.

Zelenskyy was also quoted by the broadcaster Suspilne as saying that Ukraine needed stronger air defences. He was meeting Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis in Odesa.

— Reuters