What’s happened to Bryce Young? Lack of development, loss of confidence dooming Carolina QB

When Tom Brady officially moved from quarterback to announcer, he brought some of his real, honest opinions with him — like, for example, how the sport of football’s process for developing quarterbacks is broken.

And while the player is never totally free of blame, it was hard not to think about that point after seeing the Panthers’ decision — a fair one, based on merit — to bench second-year QB Bryce Young after a brutal 0-2 start. Young’s not the only quarterback struggling, but he’s probably the highest-paid.

In Brady’s day, quarterbacks had to fight from the ground up after high school. There was no transfer portal, no NIL and most kids started their journeys as fourth-stringers (or seventh-stringers, as in Brady’s case). They were forced to grind through the type of competitive cauldron that makes or breaks people.

Today’s college football is not that, and it hasn’t been for a long time.

Not only can players leave whenever they’re frustrated and play immediately, they’re paid handsomely to do so. Plus, nothing disrupts a player’s development more than a coaching change, which now happen faster than ever. The pre-NIL version of the College Football Playoff also saw a massive amount of the country’s top prep talent flock to a handful of programs — Alabama, Georgia, Ohio State, Clemson, LSU and a few others. Those teams hoarded so much monster depth that, for some of them, practices were harder than most games. Powerhouse programs were built on what was best for said program, not necessarily what was best for the development of each player.

Young’s career at Alabama is the perfect example of that last point. He never ventured into the transfer portal or played for a head coach other than Nick Saban. But after redshirting behind Mac Jones on Alabama’s 2020 national-title squad — one of the most talented in modern college football history — Young in his first year as a starter had an NFL-ready 220-pound RB (Brian Robinson Jr.), three draft picks at WR (including Jameson Williams), more draft picks on his starting and backup OL and a defense that had everything.

By a wide margin, his team was more talented than the opposition in at least 13 of his 15 games during that 2021 season.

🐘 21/23
🐘 270 Pass Yds
🐘 5 TD

Bryce Young is the first player in @AlabamaFTBL history to throw 5 TD passes in a single half. pic.twitter.com/pZ1qMyOGtd

— SEC Network (@SECNetwork) November 13, 2021

Moreover, when Young signed with Alabama out of high school, he did so basically knowing he’d be the starter as a sophomore. That sort of outlook is a reality in today’s game, and it’s exactly what Brady is talking about.

In the old days, Young — the No. 1 prospect in his class — likely would have landed on a team with multiple NFL quarterbacks already on the roster. He’d have had to work harder to earn and keep his spot, and that process would’ve buffered out the type of Day One hiccups that have now crushed a 23-year-old player’s confidence in the NFL and forced him to the bench.

Justin Fields’ situation at Ohio State was basically a shot-for-shot remake of this. He picked a school with high-level talent — and zero competition for the starting job. The rest is history.

Young made a ton of plays in the pocket, on the move and off-platform during his two-year run as Alabama’s starter. He won the Heisman Trophy in 2021. He was a phenomenal playmaker, a tough leader and a winner. When he’s playing with confidence, his athletic instincts are off the charts.

Because it was trying to win games, Alabama (correctly) let Bryce be Bryce. He got away with careless throws that his receivers caught. He got away with missing open routes because someone else was wide open at another spot on the field. And, most importantly, he got away with poor footwork because he was talented enough to do it.

Here are a couple examples of Young being able make a big play for Alabama without proper footwork, because he’s playing with an extremely talented team and not yet facing NFL defenses:

This isn’t to say Young wasn’t coached at Alabama — of course he was. But when you constantly get away with stuff like this in games, as a young player, you remember it. And that’s not always good.

To be clear, NFL scouts didn’t botch the evaluation of Young. Obviously, for any franchise (like Carolina) that had Young graded higher than C.J. Stroud, that’s proven to be an error. Beyond that, though, we’re comparing him in the 2023 draft class to Anthony Richardson (the No. 4 pick) and Will Levis (No. 33), two other extremely talented passers who — like Young — are struggling with little things right now.

Among that group, Young belonged toward the top. And, unfortunately for Young, he was drafted by a desperate franchise with questionable ownership and no direction. Again, similar on a lot of fronts to how Fields’ early NFL story played out.

The trade Carolina made to acquire Young already stands as one of the worst in league history, and not just because Young’s future is uncertain. When the Panthers drafted Young, they did so while rostering a young and unproven offensive line, arguably the worst combination of WR and TE talent in the NFL, an overpaid/unproven running back and an owner with zero patience. Young’s actually one of the rare college players who had coaching consistency, so when Carolina owner David Tepper fired Frank Reich 11 games into Young’s rookie year, the roof caved in.

Had the Panthers selected Stroud instead and Tepper pulled the same move, you’d be seeing Stroud struggle, too. You cannot rip a rookie quarterback’s rug out from under him while he’s still finding his chair. From a 10,000-foot view, Carolina’s “Bryce Young problem” is mostly on its owner. Young needed more help, more stability and something resembling a sane environment to fix his issues, because Young’s footwork problems have been there his whole career.

Namely, his feet need to be calmer and in rhythm with the routes his targets are running. If they aren’t, any timing-based concepts — most of what you’re running in the NFL — are ruined. Young did not run a particularly “pro-style” offense at Alabama. And now as a pro he’s often been late (or too early) on basic reads, either because he’s off with his feet, waiting too long on his first receiver or a combination of both. All of this takes time on task to repair.

we’ll take that

📺 | @nfloncbs pic.twitter.com/BwFTg1jKoS

— Los Angeles Chargers (@chargers) September 15, 2024

Since Young spent much of his college career in a shotgun system that asked him to read more run-pass options than fundamental pass concepts, he was allowed to make plays without ever having to pay attention to his feet. The depth of his drops out of the gun and from under center are erratic, there’s no feel for it and, frankly, no one seemed ready to hammer down on those details with him until he got to the league.

Young got 31 dropbacks during the 2023 preseason and was pressured or sacked on about half of them. His footwork and the blocking by Carolina’s offensive line shared blame there. In his first three games as an NFL player, defenses pressured him on 38 of his combined 81 dropbacks (with six sacks). That’s what can happen when you surround a rookie QB with the worst roster in the league.

There was a lot of bad last season, to be sure, but, at least early, Young also sprinkled in moments of progress. The Panthers never helped him enough, though, and Young’s own moments of going off-script and trying to do too much often just made things worse.

By the end of 2023 regular season, Young ranked No. 2 behind Sam Howell in pressures — and looked completely without confidence. Young then entered his second season with his third head coach, his third quarterbacks coach and his second offensive coordinator. It began, literally on the first play, about how you’d expect.

Young’s play on the field has been dreadful, to a point where first-year coach Dave Canales likely would’ve been in danger of losing the locker room had he stuck with him.

Through two weeks, Young’s the least-accurate starter in the NFL, with an off-target rate of a whopping 19.6 percent; in 2022 at Alabama, Young was the fifth-most accurate Power 5 starter. Young’s EPA/pressured dropback is currently dead last among NFL starters (-.40); at Bama in ‘22, his EPA/pressure dropback number (.13) was better than any other prospect in his draft class.

He’s been hit way too many times, his comfort in the pocket is gone and his confidence is completely shot. But he also won’t turn 24 until June.

Whether or not Young’s time in Carolina is over remains to be seen. Failure’s almost never final in football, especially at Young’s age. Perhaps Canales and his offensive coaching battery of OC Brad Idzik, pass game coordinator Nate Carroll and QB coach Will Harringer can retool and repair Young’s issues in quiet while Andy Dalton holds the fort down. Or maybe Tepper will demand the franchise move on.

It would not be wise, however, to simply throw in the towel forever on Young as a prospect, be it in Carolina or — eventually, perhaps — elsewhere. This is not a Trey Lance or Zach Wilson situation. Those were COVID-impacted scouting failures. The situation surrounding Young in Carolina was closer to what Fields had in Chicago, only worse.

Stroud has been a better player, obviously, and it’s not fair to compare “what-ifs,” but look at the situation he entered in Houston. The weapons, the offensive plan, the functioning defense — Stroud had all of that and has thrived. Young’s had none of it and has failed.

Brady was a pretty good quarterback. Maybe you’ve heard about it. People should listen to his message closely right now, because it’s important and highlights a problematic situation. He is right about the way the current state of the college game — often coupled in the draft process with overzealous NFL owners who don’t know what they’re doing — is killing quarterback development.

We’re all seeing with Young what can happen as a result.

 

(Photo: Grant Halverson / Getty Images)