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The Art of Uncertainty review: Top statistician David Spiegelhalter on how to deal with uncertainty
You may seek to beat the slots, but that’s down to luck’s complexities
Martin Parr/Magnum Photos
The Art of Uncertainty
David Spiegelhalter (Pelican (UK, out now); W. W. Norton (US, 4 March 2025))
I am not a twin, but I share a birthday with my sister, who is three years older than me. When I tell people, I normally get one of two reactions: either a lewd joke about how nine months earlier must have been a special date for our parents, or a “what are the chances?”
In my ignorance, I have always assumed it was simply…
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